Question 1

What is Model Collapse?

Accepted Answer

When AI trains on AI output, it loses the tails of its distribution — nuance, edge cases, minority data — and converges on a distorted mean. The same thing happens to civilizations that lose contact with ground truth. The same thing happens to financial markets when Aladdin’s $35T creates uniform outputs.

Question 2

How does Model Collapse relate to the Psychohistory Prediction Engine?

Accepted Answer

Model Collapse is one of 139 core concepts in the Psychohistory Prediction Engine, which uses 8 independent frameworks and 1,674 nodes to map structural pressure from 2026 to 2040. When AI trains on AI output, it loses the tails of its distribution — nuance, edge cases, minority data — and converges on a distorted mean. The same thing happens to civilizations that lose contact w